Not a lot has changed in the top 5 blue chip dividend stocks.
There have been some great gains from September to October by the top 5.
American Express in particular is up over 6% since being recommended last month.
Those gains, however, haven’t knocked it off the list.
The names are still familiar, but there was shuffling.
We have a new #1 sitting atop the mountain!
Who is it going to be?
Using the 7 Truths of Dividend Investing, here are the 5 best dividend blue chip stocks for October 2017.
5. American Express (AXP)
Payout Ratio: 24.0%
5-Year Historical EPS Growth: 5.47%
Dividend Growth Streak: 6 years
Dividend Yield: 1.51%
5-Year Dividend Growth: 11.3%
When American’s think of prestigious brands, American Express typically comes to mind.
The American Express Black Card. The Gladiator logo. Fancy cars. They all kind of go hand in hand.
It’s come quite a long ways since humble beginnings over a century and a half ago.
American Express, also known as Amex, began in 1850 as an express mail business.
The business started in Buffalo, New York as a joint stock corporation. It was a merger of express companies owned by Henry Wells, William G. Fargo, and John Warren Butterfield.
If two of those names sound familiar, it’s because they also started Wells Fargo & Co. in 1852. Butterfield and other directors objected to expanding Amex operations into California. Wells and Fargo disagreed and decided to start another company.
For years American Express enjoyed a virtual monopoly on the movement of express shipments around the state.
In 1857, Amex started expanding in the area of financial services. They began by launching a money order business to compete with the US Post Office.
That expansion accelerated in 1891 when Marcellus Flemming Berry created the first Traveler’s Cheque. This turned Amex into a truly global company.
By 1903, the company had assets of $28 million. This was second only to the National City Bank of New York among financial institutions in the city.
It wasn’t until 1950 that American Express entered into the credit card business.
In March of 1950, the Diners Club card launched. Their second card came out at the end of 1958 with a $6 annual fee.
That may not seem like much, but it was the first card marketed as a premium product.
The Amex Gold Card launched in 1966, followed by the Platinum card in 1984, and the premium card releases haven’t stopped since.
It wasn’t until 1999 that the Centurion Card, the famed “black card” dropped. The card had a shopping $2,500 annual fee an extra one-time initiation fee of $7,500.
Future Growth Potential
The last few years have not been great for American Express investors.
Since the beginning of 2015, the company’s stock has declined 8% while the S&P has gained nearly 20%.
They have, however, been giving hefty dividend raises of 10% and 11.5% over that time.
The lower price and high dividend means an attractive yield for dividend investors.
The question is if the price will ever start to go back up again.
Negative views of Amex come from the loss of Costco in 2015. Up until that point it was the only card allowed at their stores. The loss is one that’s still felt today.
But, if you look at the numbers excluding Costco, things actually look very different.
Year-over-year growth with Costco numbers is a small 1%. Remove Costco and it grows to a healthy 8%.
The company is also putting a greater emphasis on existing customers. For the last several years they’ve grown U.S. loans faster than the industry.
Combine that with enhanced rewards for credit card holders and American Express is in position to bounce back strong from the Costco loss.
4. Home Depot (HD)
Payout Ratio: 39.7%
5-Year Historical EPS Growth: 19.9%
Dividend Growth Streak: 8 years
Dividend Yield: 2.16%
5-Year Dividend Growth: 24.0 %
Sector: Consumer Cyclical
Anyone who owns a home has been to Home Depot.
The home improvement store has been a common destination for home owners since its founding in 1978.
The company was co-founded with the idea of building home-improvement superstores.
Two spaces were leased from J.C. Penney and became the first locations of Home Depot. Both located in the metro Atlanta area.
Things went really well from the beginning because the company went public two years later in 1981.
Along with their public offering, Home Depot started branching out of Georgia and into Florida. Two new stores opened in Hollywood and Ft. Lauderdale.
By 1984 The Home Depot was operating 19 stores with sales over $256 million.
The company made its first acquisition in 1984 to expand into Dallas. Bowater Inc. became The Home Depot on October 31, 1984 for $40 million.
Rapid expansion had it’s downside, though. During the 80s, earnings fell 42% while debt rose to $200 million.
Another stock offering was issued that allowed them to raise capital, open 10 new stores and restructure their debts.
In 1989 The Home Depot surpassed Lowe’s as the largest home improvement store in the United States.
Home Depot aggressively acquired various supply companies across the US in the early 2000s.
They wanted to expand their direct-mail marketing to gain customers out of reach by The Home Depot.
Early 2000 also saw their expansion into Mexico with the purchase of home improvement chain Del Norte.
Future Growth Potential
Like most of the country, 2008 was bad for Home Depot. Because the financial crises targeted housing in particular, Home Depot especially took the brunt of it.
However, Home Depot is resilient and has bounced back in a big way.
Since 2010, revenue as grown from the low of $66.2 billion to $94.6 billion in 2016. Net income even tripled from $2.6 billion to $8.0 billion.
The housing recovery has meant a major recovery for the home improvement giant.
Going forward, Home Depot is looking to expand its professional customers base.
They want to become the go-to location for professional contractors and service providers.
In 2015, Home Depot acquired Interline Brands for $1.6 billion.
Interline Brands is one of the national’s leading suppliers and wholesale distributors for those in maintenance, repair, and operations.
Meaning their primary customers are facility and maintenance staffs at apartment complexes, hotels, hospitals, colleges, etc...
The company is also pushing to integrate its online and in-store sales. Home Depot wants customers to be able to order anything online and pick it up quick and easy at the store.
While retail is under threat of Amazon, home improvement seems to be one area the ecommerce giant can’t touch.
Home Depot did pause their dividend raises during the Great Recession.
They’ve had 8 consecutive years of dividend growth but 25+ without a reduction.
Aside from the possibility of another collapse like 2008, this Blue Chip stock doesn’t look to be slowing down anytime soon.
It’s been a consistent dividend payer and looks to continue being one for the foreseeable future.
3. Visa (V)
Payout Ratio: 19.6%
5-Year Historical EPS Growth: 16.6%
Dividend Growth Streak: 9 years
Dividend Yield: 0.61%
5-Year Dividend Growth: 18.0%
The way we pay for things is changing.
For years the world ran on cash. Anytime you paid for something, you pulled out a few bills and handed them over.
That’s not how things go today. More often than not you’re handing over a little plastic card with the Visa logo on it.
In mid-September of 1958, Bank of America launched its BankAmericard credit card program. The program was only offered in Fresno, California through an initial mass emailing.
This was the first successful use of the all-purpose credit card.
There was plenty of middle-class Americans with revolving credit from different merchants in the mid 1950s.
Having so many lines of credit in the world made for inefficient and inconvenient shopping.
You needed an individual cards for each merchant and pay various bills each month.
Bank of America’s idea was to get rid of the multiple cards and allow people to charge everything with one.
In 1966, BofA began licensing agreements with banks across the country. Later in the 1960s it expanded to several other countries.
Ten years on, in 1976, the directors of the International Bankcard Company (IBANCO) decided to bring the various international networks together under a single network.
That single network with a single name would be in the best interest of all the corporations with licensing agreements.
The single network became known as Visa.
Before 2007, Visa was four separate incorporated companies: Visa USA, Visa International, Visa Canada, and Visa Europe.
In October of 2007, Visa Canada, Visa International, and Visa USA merged to form Visa Inc. This was the first step in becoming a publicly traded company.
Visa’s IPO took place in March of 2008.
By 2016, Visa Inc. had acquired Visa Europe and created one global entity.
Future Growth Potential
The future for Visa is very bright.
Visa currently has a war on cash.
The less people use cash and the more they use credit cards, Visa wins.
What a lot of people don’t know is Visa doesn’t issue credit cards, they don’t extend credit, they don't even set rates or fees.
That’s all done by banks.
All Visa does is handle the electronic transfers throughout the world. Typically it’s from a buyer’s bank to a merchant’s bank. Visa then gets a cut of every transaction.
In 2015, Visa processed 100 billion transactions with a total volume of $6.8 TRILLION.
All that said, Visa is still the second largest card payment organization in the world. China’s UnionPay surpassed Visa in 2015 based on annual value of card payments transacted.
That’s a threat, but a minor one.
UnionPay’s size is based on its domestic market. Nearly all their transactions are happening within China.
Visa still dominates the rest of the world with over 50% market share of global card payments minus China.
There is also competition domestically from American Express and MasterCard to be concerned with.
While paying with a credit card seems like second nature in the US, it is still relatively uncommon around the globe.
If payment trends around the world follow the path of the United States, this is a huge opportunity for Visa.
This Blue Chip dividend stock has been raising their dividend for almost since it's IPO and I don’t think it’s stopping anytime soon. It will eventually reach the ranks of Dividend Aristocrat.
2. Nike (NKE)
Payout Ratio: 28.9%
5-Year Historical EPS Growth: 16.7%
Dividend Growth Streak: 15 years
Dividend Yield: 1.41%
5-Year Dividend Growth: 15.0%
Sector: Consumer Cyclical
Not a day goes by that we don’t see that Nike swoosh somewhere in the world.
It could be on someone’s feet walking by. It could be on their shirt or pants. You might see it on TV during an advertisement.
You could also be seeing it on TV as part of a top flight sports game.
Nike is everywhere when it comes to athletic apparel.
The company was created in 1964 by Bill Bowerman and Phil Knight as Blue Ribbon Sports.
It was another 7 years before the company officially became Nike. So named after the Greek goddess of victory. Fitting for an athletic apparel company.
Initially, the company didn’t have any products of its own. They operated as a distributor of Japanese shoe maker Onitsuka Tiger. Now known by most as ASICS.
Bowerman made the first pair of shoes using a waffle iron. He was looking for a better running shoe for his athletes and produced the first pair of Nike’s with kitchen equipment.
In 1971, Nike launched it’s first line of footwear bearing the trademark Swoosh.
By 1980, the company had attained a 50% market share in the U.S. athletic shoe market and the company went public in December of that year.
Future Growth Potential
Products are marketed under the Nike brand as well as through Nike Pro, Nike+, Air Jordan, Nike Blazers, Air Force 1, Nike Dunk, Air Max, Foamposite, Nike Skateboarding, Hurley International, and Converse.
Nike over the last number of years has been losing market share to Under Armour and Adidas. The most drastic losses have come in recent years to Adidas.
Adidas sales soared 31% in 2017 to $1.1 billion to overtake Under Armour in the number 2 spot for North America.
Yet, Nike is still holds the top spot by a wide margin.
The scare from Adidas has held the stock down.
Poor sales from Footlocker and Dick’s Sporting Goods hasn’t helped either.
Falling numbers at the major shoe and sporting good stores has scared a lot of investors.
The theory is if sales are poor there, Nike must not be doing well either.
While the theory has some truth, Nike has many other avenues of distribution.
They’re focusing on direct to consumer over the internet and partnering with Amazon to do so.
Nike hasn’t reduced their dividend payment in 25 years and has increased it each year for the last 15.
When it comes to dividend paying blue chip stocks, it doesn’t get much better than Nike.
1. UnitedHealth Group (UNH)
Payout Ratio: 26.0%
5-Year Historical EPS Growth: 11.5%
Dividend Growth Streak: 8 years
Dividend Yield: 1.56%
5-Year Dividend Growth: 30.5%
UnitedHealth Group was founded by a group of physicians in 1974 as Charter Med Incorporated.
Along with other health care professionals, they wanted to expand coverage options for consumers.
The name Charter Med didn’t last long. The creation of United HealthCare Corporation in 1977 was to reorganize and became the parent company of Charter Med in 1977.
The business focus is on using the best medical care combined with the best thinking in business management.
The idea being that both would improve the health of patients while strengthening the health care system.
In 1979, United introduces the first network-based health plan strictly for seniors. They’re also one of the earliest experiments with private-market alternatives to Medicare.
UNH went public in 1984 and continued to meld solid health care with good business management.
1987 saw the introduction of EverCare. A program designed to help coordinate care for individuals in nursing homes.
Transplant Networks were introduced in 1989 to help direct people to programs capable of handling their complex medical needs.
In 1996 the company came out with AdjudiPro. Using very early forms of AI, United Health created a system for automating much of the claims review process.
This allowed a claim to be reviewed and sent back to health care providers and customers in record times.
Two years later, in 1998, United HealthCare Corporation became known as UnitedHealth Group.
The company has continued to innovate ever since.
Future Growth Potential
The company now operates under two business segments: UnitedHealthcare and Optum. Both are subsidiaries of UnitedHealth group.
Together, Optum and UnitedHealthcare serve approximately 115 million people in 2016. That same year the company reported income of $13 billion.
Optum splits into three divisions: OptumInsight, OptumRx, and OptumHealth.
UnitedHealthcare includes four divisions: UnitedHealthcare Employer & Individual, UnitedHealthcare Community & State, Medicare & Retirement, and Global.
UnitedHealthcare Global serves more than 4 million people across the globe in 125 countries.
Global expansion is a primary driver in UnitedHealth's growth. While they are the largest health insurance enterprise in Brazil, there is room for more.
United is working to develop public-private partnerships in Brazil as a test ground. From their they look to expand to other more developed markets using the same business model.
Another growth opportunity is from Optum and OptumCare. Revenue increased 10% in Q2 2017 with strong results from the health-plan business management.
There is the lingering question of health care reform. No one knows where it will end up, but the expectation is that companies like UnitedHealth will continue to play a major role.
UnitedHealth hasn’t reduced its quarterly dividend in 25 years and has been raising it each year for the last 8.
Even with the questions around healthcare, UnitedHealth is a solid dividend paying Blue Chip stock.
And there it is, the top 5 dividend blue chip stocks for October 2017.
UnitedHealth Group overtook Nike for the top spot but everything else remained the same.
Are any of these on your watchlist? Do you have any other Blue Chip Dividend Stocks you're looking at?